Categories
Trading Trading Strategy

How to Trade? & What not to do while trading?

In this post, I will be sharing my lessons learned over years.

Intraday & Positional trading is entirely different & one should not mix both.

Here are some key differences between both types of trading.

Intraday TradingPositional Trading
Your stock selection matter’s most & you need to have the most volatile stock on your watchlistIn the short term horizon, markets should be trending.
Stocks that are having some news or having max volumes.Stocks that are forming base & Markets should have low volatility.
Focus & maximum Discipline is needed during intraday trading.Positional trading need’s patience, there could be times neither your targets get hit nor SL

Some worthy point to note regarding Positional Trading

  • The stock market works on greed & fear. It is not necessary that for getting fearful, the market should go entirely at the bottom.
  • Markets never go in a straight line. If they go then be ready for the same movement in opposite direction.
  • The market could be irrational most of the time. But that doesn’t mean you do something which is entirely opposite to markets.

Now small note on Targets for Short term trades

  • I generally do positional trade. This means I buy on one day & sell another day, Now taking about holding period, it could be days, weeks or months.
  • For deciding targets, I generally prefer the resistance line drawn base on historical data on charts. & If stock is at ATH, will use Fibo levels.
  • But that doesn’t mean that my targets are always reached. If targets are not reached. I prefer to keep trailing SL.

Now, let’s talk about keeping Stop Loss

  • I generally do not keep anything in the system as sometimes during the panic, Stop Loss can get triggered but still price close above my level.
  • Generally, prefer checking prices after 3 pm and take a decision based on that.
  • The above thing is easier said than done. but one has to admit, that you have to take risks for taking rewards home. therefore it is better.
  • One has to make a choice for the path and keep following it, I prefer not to do anything before the closing of the market.
  • I maintain a sheet where my stop losses are mentioned for my quick reference.

Sometimes you will lose but you will gain big if you stay disciplined.

Final Lessons

  • You don’t have to take 100 trades. but make sure whatever trade you take, don’t make the same mistakes again.
  • Markets are not rational. Neither do Market want you to make money?
  • Therefore there will be occasions when you want to exit but do follow your system and if it is not allowing you to exit. then don’t.
  • Discipline is one of the biggest power that a trader can have. Practice it.
  • There could be days when your target is hit but your greed has overpowered you & you are not willing to exit. One has to follow the system to make it perfect.

Last will end this post with one quote

Categories
Bitcoin

How to invest in Crypto ?

Invest via Wazirx, CoinSwitch, Binance. Apart from this lot of apps are available for investing in crypro.

First thing First

  1. Highly unregulated market.
  2. Gov. laws are archive & not proper.
  3. Hacking of exchange or wallet is possible.

Getting Ready

  1. Start with small account.
  2. Price action & charting works well here..
  3. Don’t look for 10-15% return.
  4. Look for 50% or 2X returns here
  5. Highly risky asset class.

Apps to prefer
Wazirx & Binance
We can also transfer crypto coins from Wazirx to Binance.

Binance preferable from my side as it is international platform.
Indian platform have lot of hanging issues during event of high volatility.

Now about Binance

Binance provides Web/Desktop App/ Mobile app.
But it doesn’t support buying crypto directly.
One can buy from P2P network.
It is something like buying from unknown people but protected by Binance.
Highly regulated by Binance Support.
P2P (peer to peer) network supports both buying & selling in INR.

About P2P
It is based on peer to peer network users.
Different users post they prices if you agree to them you can go and buy or sell.
Before doing any transaction check payment methods available.
Supported payment are gpay/paytm/upi/imps.

What to Buy from P2P?

Preferable buying with liquid currency like USDT etc.
Liquid currency is less volatile and comparatively very safe like other crypto currency.
When buying or selling on P2P one should Look for lowest rates for buying & highest for selling.

Bought USDT from P2P, Now What?

Once you have bought coin from p2p just transfer them to spot wallet.
Once transferred to spot wallet, just go to Market tab, where you can place buy order and later on sell order.
Buy only on popular coins which have high liquidity.

Open account on Binance now.

Categories
Basics

Interesting Charts for Next Week

SpiceJet

Spicejet is forming an ascending triangle pattern. It is yet to give breakout.
One should keep this under watchlist.

HDFC Life

HDFCLife is forming a falling wedge pattern & giving RSI divergence.
Breakout is still pending but risky traders can start accumulating this stock with a stop loss of 530. CMP 564.

NCC

NCC is forming an ascending triangle pattern & yet to give a breakout on daily charts. One should keep under watchlist.
There is a lot of room for upside as the possible target is 45. Stoploss should be below the sloping trend line 32.

Jamna Auto

One can track Jamna Auto as risk-reward is favorable here.
Stop Loss 39 Target 48/52

Balkrishna Industries

Balkrishna Ind is maintaining a positive uptrend & now trading at support levels.
One can enter with 1280 level & can expect a new all-time high level.

Categories
Basics

Portfolio Weekly Technical Analysis

Hello, guys, today will be analzing some of mine portfolio picks.
Hope this will give you some ideas too.

TCS

Dabur

Icici Lombard

Kotak Mahindra Bank

SBI Life

ITC

HeroMoto Corp

Jindal Steel

CCL

HDFC Life

Asian Paints

Nam India

Fine Organics

Godrej Consumer

IPCA Labs

Dr Reddy’s

PI Industries

ICICI Prudential Life Insurance

HDFC AMC

Categories
Basics

Interesting Charts for Coming Week

BlueDart

BlueDart already gave breakout last week
Double bottom formation
Expecting 3800/4000 in coming weeks
SL 2600 CLBS

Eris Life Science

Formation of Inverse H&S formation going on
Waiting for breakout

Varroc Engg

Flag formation going on
waiting for breakout

Ceat

Ceat Bottom is formed
Immediate target 1070

Trident (Penny stock)

Trident has formed Inverse H&S Pattern on daily Charts
Immediate Target 9.2

HDFC AMC

HDFC AMC reversal is visible.
abv 2400 we can see a breakout

Categories
Basics

Best Auto Stocks for Long Term Investment

Nifty Auto

Auto Industry has been a cyclical industry, therefore, we should invest at bottom of cycle and exit at the top.
Current charts of the Auto Index are showing that the bottom is already formed & every major dip should be bought.

Short Term trend: Bearish
Long Term Trend: Bullish as long as the 6700 levels are held.
Accumulation area 7200-7400.

Post-COVID Crash Performance of Major Auto Stocks

Top Performers: Mahindra & Mahindra, AshokLey, HeroMoto Corp
Worst Performers: TVS Motors, Bajaj Auto, Eicher

Out of the top performers, HeroMoto corp is a debt-free company and a major 2 wheeler manufacturer in India.
M&M & Ashokley have also performed well but they have significant debt on their balance sheets.

1 Year Performance of Major Auto Stocks

Top Performers: Eicher Motors, M&M, HeroMoto Corp
Worst Performers: Maruti Suzuki, Bajaj Auto, AshokLey

Eicher Motor has emerged Top performer in the last 1 year and after the stock split, the stock has been looking attractive.
HeroMoto corp continues to be lead the space in the last 1-year return.

HeroMoto Corp

HeroMoto corp has been in a continuous uptrend since March 2020 crash.
A level of 2500 is major support for HeroMoto, therefore, every major dip towards it should be bought. It had made time high near 4000 in 2017.
Going forward we can expect the same trend to continue. One can keep SL below 2500 for long term investment.

Below is fundamental information about the company.

Stock Trade at a moderate P/E level of 24 and we can easily see earning to improve in the coming quarters.
Monthly Sales numbers are already coming above the Pre-COVID environment. Therefore we can expect a decent expansion of P/E multiple as well.

Mahindra & Mahindra

M&M has delivered a very strong recovery as the Market recovered post-COVID crash.
Important Support 500
Current Trend: Mildly bearish
Important Resistance 650-670
Accumulation area: 540-560

Fundamental Information about M&M

M&M has posted a loss in the last quarter therefore P/E multiple does not hold much value. As pointed out earlier, M&M has heavy debt on its books which is eating up the profitability of the company. Therefore One should keep that risk factor for consideration before making any investment.
Currently for investment purposes in M&M can be bouget near 550 with an SL of 450.

Categories
Basics

Indices Analysis

In this post, we will be analyzing the trend of the market (Nifty & Bank Nifty) using daily & weekly charts.

Nifty 50 (Weekly)

Let’s analyze Nifty 50 on the weekly time frame. Nifty 50 looks exhausted as it has formed bearish engulfing & Doji on weekly charts.
Currently, we are trading in a range of 600 points & until US Election there is a possibility we can stay in that range. (11185 – 11800)
If this range is broken on the downside we can see trend reversal for short to medium term in markets. (Important support 10880)

Nifty (Daily)

On a daily time frame, Nifty is showing strong resistance at 11620 and last week was not able to sustain above 11600 levels.
We can see some correction of 50-80 points from 11500 as global markets are quite weak.
It is better to protect profits here. Currently, the market is sell on rise till 11620 is not broken.

Nifty (1 Hourly)

In the last trading selling, we saw a big selling in the last 1 hour of the closing of markets. But that selling was absorbed. If global markets stay weak we can easily break the 11500 level.

Nifty Bank (Weekly)

As discussed in our previous analysis that Bank Nifty is very weak and it gave false breakout to trap on the upside. Currently it downward trend & we can easily see 21000-21050 levels in the coming week.

Nifty Bank (Daily)

Daily charts are showing a breakdown in Bank Nifty and we can see some lower levels easily here.
It would be better to avoid longs in Bank Nifty & wait for any reversal here.
Bank Nifty can find support at 21050.

Categories
Market Reports

Sector Analysis Aug 1 Week

Nifty Pharma

Nifty Pharma has been leading the bull run in the last 4 weeks. We expect out-performance to continue for some more time.
Nifty Pharma Index CMP 11333
Support 10800
Target 12000/12100

Nifty Auto

Auto space has witnessed a good comeback in the last 3 months. In fact, most of the auto stocks are trading above pre-COVID levels now.
We expect things to normalize soon as the rise in stock prices are backed by good auto sales numbers. Therefore we expectAuto index to outperform Nifty in the coming 1 year.
Auto Index CMP 7554
Target 7800/8500
Support 7300/6700

Nifty Metal

Nifty Metal has given breakout this week. Therefore we can expect good movement for the next 2 weeks. Nifty Metal has not performed well in the past 3 months, therefore, there is sufficient headroom for the rise in the index now.
Nifty Metal CMP @ 2314
Target 2650/2750
Support 2150

Nifty Bank

Nifty Bank remains weakest of all sectors & stocks have been underperforming its peers by huge numbers. We don’t expect any quick recovery in this sector, therefore, one needs to remain underweight in this sector.
Nifty Bank CMP 21750
Target 23210/23500
Support 21000

Nifty Midcap 100

Nifty Midcap 100 index has given a good breakout. Therefore we can witness a good upside in midcap stocks.
Nifty Midcap 100 CMP @ 16103
Target 16900/18500
Support15000

Categories
Daily Report

Trading Setup for 06 July

US Markets were closed on Friday session but Dow Jones futures were trading almost flat.
Today Asian markets are filled with optimism and trading in green. Therefore we can expect a positive opening and will be following global cues thereafter.

Today HDFC Bank will be in lime light and need to be watched carefully.

Technical Setup for the day

Nifty 4H

Nifty 50 Range is getting narrower, Overall it is forming a rising wedge structure.
Markets are looking very strong as of now and no weakness in the market before 10550.
On upside 10700-10730 are resistance levels and should be watched.

Nifty Support 10550
Nifty Resistance 10730

FIIs Position

On the last session, FIIs have closed almost all the shorts and are Net long on Index. Any dip should be used for creating fresh longs as of now.

Categories
Basics

Trading Setup For 1 July

US Markets closed in positive.
Dow Jones was up .85%.
Nasdaq was up 1.87%.

Prime Minister addressed nation yesterday at 4pm. Thought no major announcement was made related to markets.

Technical Setup for Nifty50

Yesterday Nifty50 was trading range-bound for most of the session but we saw good profit booking at the end of the closing hour.
Nifty took good support at 10270 and rebounded 30+ points.

Support 10270-10280, 10180, 10000
Resistance 10330, 10410

We can expect some short covering only above 10400 levels.

FIIs Data

FIIs have booked some of their shorts yesterday but they have again sold heavily in the cash market. They are selling continuously for the last 4 sessions.
Therefore we can expect the market to remain range-bound till expiry.

error: Content is protected !!