Categories
General Investing

PURCHASING A HOUSE IS NOT ONE OF THE BEST INVESTMENT DECISION

Purchasing a house

I have been thinking to write on this very favourite topic for a long time. Today I will share some facts which can help you make better investment decisions.

When it comes to buying a house most of us think it is an investment purpose and will sacrifice anything for it. Majority of working people take housing loan to buy a house. In the present time, taking a loan and buying a house is in fashion and every working individual is going for it.

Some of the reasons to buy a house are

  1. We think that after taking a housing loan we can get more income tax deductions and our tax will be less.
  2. Housing finance companies promote dream house a must buy for every living human being.
  3. House is an investment which whose value only appreciate with time.
  4. Most of the youngsters face difficulty in getting married just because his to be in-laws think he cannot keep their daughter happily without owning a house.

Buying a house on EMI is just a hoax and it only helps banks or housing finance companies to grow.


Let us take an example of it.

  1. House estimation

House cost: 50L

Interest Rate: 9.5%

Tenure: 30Years

EMI: 42K

Total amount to be paid: 1.5Cr

Purchasing a house

2. Investment estimation

Investment amount: 30K

Average return: 9.5%

Tenure: 30Years

Final amount to be received: 6.8Cr

Purchasing a house

Strange right!!

Now just see what difference an investment and loan can make in your life. The amount of return is just nominal and it could be more if an individual does some research and invest in good performing mutual funds.

My aim is never to discourage buying a house rather educating working professional about bad investment myth which is never clarified. You can always buy a house if you have an surplus money but buying an entire house on loan is never a good idea. It only fills bank or housing finance pockets.

Cons of not buying a house

  1. You have to live in a rented house and pay monthly rent which increases 5-10% every year.
  2. You may have to change house every 3 years as sometimes landlord does not allow to stay beyond 3 years.
  3. You do not have to paint or maintain house every time you move it as it is done free of cost by the house owner.
  4. You do not have to carry a burden of the house if you need to change your job.

When buying a house is good Investment?

As quoted by Warren buffet,

 Price is what you pay. Value is what you get. 

Therefore, it is very much important we should know when purchasing a house could be a good investment. As with every asset class houses also have their earning and cost.

Let us take an example of it. I have mentioned the cost of a 3/4BHK house in a metro city. I have taken rent which is the earning an individual can earn over a year from it.

P/E is a ratio which is calculated by dividing the present price of an asset by its present earning.

With above figures, we can calculate Price/Earning ratio for our house which comes around 40. This 40 ratio shows that we are willing to pay 40 times of the 1 Rs earning of the house. This is extremely very high. But this doesn’t mean that cost of the house will not increase over the year. It can increase as long as people are willing to pay the higher prices to buy new houses. The increase in prices will come with the expansion of P/E and it will increase over time. But at some point when the expansion of P/E ratio is not possible, the house prices will become constant or fall for coming years.

Buying a house is a good investment option when we are able to get a good return on it. In the mentioned example if we are able to get a house at low P/E that definitely it could be a good investment opportunity. There could be another example where if one is able to increase earning on the same house, say by opening a PG or using it for some business purpose then also buying a house is a good investment. In this case, you will get a house at low P/E because your earning has been multiplied or increased.

I hope this post adds some value to your financial life. Purchasing a house is an individual decision and can depend a lot on his/her financial conditions. Do comment if you have any recommendations.

Thinking to buy a Mutual Fund, Learn how to evaluate them

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Categories
Bitcoin General Investing

DO YOU KNOW THE DIRTY SECRETS OF BITCOIN

Dirty secrets of bitcoin

All cryptocurrencies are on fire from last 1 year. Some of them like Litecoin have even doubled investors wealth in just a week. Do not get surprised that the most popular currency, Bitcoin has surged to 2000% in just 1 year. This is a mammoth return on any asset class. But do you think such gains are justified enough and do everyone knows well about these cryptocurrencies. In this post, you will know the dirty secrets of Bitcoin currency.

1.BITCOIN mining is causing power outrage: 

According to Digiconomist, the amount of electricity used to mine Bitcoin all over the world is equivalent to Denmark, Serbia, Oman and Morocco electricity consumption. Bitcoin mining is essential for carrying out its transactions, therefore if Bitcoin becomes more popular then the demand for electricity will also increase. For the countries like China, which is heavily depended on coal-fired powerhouses, the high energy consumption of Bitcoin is leading to high carbon footprint which finally is damaging the environment. If the same growth rate of Bitcoin continues over a couple of years, then it will consume all worlds electricity by Feb 2020.

2. BITCOIN Transaction cannot be reversed

Bitcoin transactions are carried out by its miners. When a transaction is successful then its information is added to the block and attached to the blockchain. A blockchain is a shared public ledger on which entire Bitcoin relies. Therefore once the block has been attached to the blockchain, it cannot be reverted back. So if you or someone else accidentally carried out a transaction from your wallet then it is impossible to reverse it.

3. No Security against any fraud activity

As said earlier, any transaction which is carried out on Bitcoin willingly or as fraud, could not be reversed. There is another issue that all the transaction are carried out using a Bitcoin address which is not directly linked to a person or entity. However, a person’s identity could be associated with Bitcoin address through another means. It is very much necessary that we should double check the Bitcoin address before paying to anybody.

4. If you Lost your private key, Forget your money

Bitcoin wallets keep a secret piece of information known as the private key. This private key is used to sign the transaction which provides a mathematical proof of the owner’s identity. So if you have lost your key, you can never prove your identity while carrying out payment. Even if you forget the key, there is no one who can help you to recover it and your Bitcoin become unspendable.

5. Any harsh rule from RBI (Government) can lead to its collapse

The government of India has declared BITCON as not a legal tender. Therefore you cannot do any transaction as a merchant or seller using Bitcoin in India. At the same time buying Bitcoin as an investment is not illegal yet. But there is a lot of uncertainty from the Government regarding Bitcoin. If RBI takes any strict action against usage of Bitcoin then obviously future of Bitcoin will be jeopardized for India Bitcoin investors. The hard earned money of the investors in this cryptocurrency is in hands of RBI.

Read: Is purchasing Bitcoin worth now?

Currently, Bitcoin is most popular cryptocurrency in the world and account for more than 60% of all cryptocurrencies.

Categories
Bitcoin General Investing

IS PURCHASING BITCOIN WORTH NOW?

BITCOIN

Yes, Go ahead and buy BITCOIN only if you can afford to lose your entire invested money.

Does it scare you? 

Now maybe I am very conservative or do not want to explore new areas of investing  But I am certainly not want to throw my money in the thing which does not have any underlying asset or value.

Have a look at 1-year price graph of BITCOIN

Chart source: Coindesk

BITCOIN has surged close to 900% in the just 1-year (as of 29/nov/17). That seems to be a marvellous return on any investment.

There have been numerous investment options for investors like stocks, bonds and fixed deposits etc. Now there has been a new option for investment named BITCOIN.

Most of us do not understand what BITCOIN is and how it can be revolutionary?

The underlying purpose of BITCOIN was to provide country less currency which cannot be controlled by any government. It was meant to be used for a transaction so that you can buy or sell any goods or services across the country boundaries. Now, BITCOIN price changes every hour at 3-5% rate. As a result, it cannot be accepted as a payment type.

Does anyone think with 3-5% fluctuation in rates anyone still wants to buy or sell anything with BITCOIN?

A proper answer will be no. No seller will be willing to see so much volatility in his revenues as his profits entirely depend on it. As of now, (Dec 2017) FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) is getting hold of everybody. Nobody wants to miss the opportunity to buy BITCOIN. That is the reason we saw a significant rally in last 4 months.  It has moved from 6500 to 12,000 levels.

Is this a BITCOIN bubble?

Maybe yes, A bubble is often misleading term. Whenever a thing is termed a bubble people tend to think, it is going to collapse soon. But the truth is bubbles are hard to picture and you never know when they will grow more or will burst out.

One thing is certain, exponential growth which BITCOIN is currently eying cannot last forever.

Why not invest in BITCOIN?

  1. There is no underlying assert which BITCOIN has.
  2. No one controls BITCOIN, therefore it can surge to infinite levels or can decline upto 90%  or even 100% within hours.
  3. With such a volatile prices, it could not be used for payments.

I would not recommend anyone invest their hard earned money in such a volatile instrument. There are plenty of investment opportunities out there. And certainly, BITCOIN is not among them.

Read: Do not let your emotions control your investment decisions

Read: How to invest when the market is all time high?

Categories
General Investing Investing Lessons

I REGRET SELLING THIS STOCK : SatinCreditCare

I have occurred huge loss in Satin CreditCare, due to my impatience and following advice from others without my own discretion.

Moneycontrol link

I lost around Rs 10,000 in Satin because of my immaturity in the stock market.

Take a look at the Satin CreditCare price trend in last 3 years.

My journey in Satin CreditCare

I invested in satin in Feb 2017 with around Rs 9,000. That was sort of peak of this stock. Being a novice investor, I keep on averaging out as soon as stock decreases 10 points. At Jun 2017 My invested price in satin was around 38,000 with a current value as 28,000.

Satin works in the micro-finance sector and it was demonetization hugely affected its business. It posted huge losses in Q4 2017 and Q1 2018 from profitable quarters in 2017. Being a small firm there was not much of news and data available on the web apart from Annual reports.

I was getting impatience and sad to see such a huge loss on my portfolio. As of this saying,I was not willing to accept any further decline in the stock price. So I took a big decision, to exit from Satin @ 270 in early Jun 2017.

But to my huge surprise, the next day Satin Credit Care’s price climbed around 7%. And in last 5 months, it has grown 50% from the exit price.

On that day I learned a lesson, hard way.

For the people who what to jump into the overwhelming place of creating wealth. Some of my observations during my investments are

  1. To every new investor out there, first, decide your time frame of investing.
  2. You should ask yourself whether you are a Trader or an Investor. If you are not sure about this, please refrain yourself from investing, you are bound to lose money.
  3. An Investor should do his own research and invest for long term.
  4. Do not get panicked by the short-term volatility of the stock.
  5. Do not just sell a stock because it’s share price has fallen because Markets are uncertain and they will be uncertain.

This is why Investing is art rather than just science.

Read: Do not let your emotions control your investment decisions

Read:  How to invest when markets are all-time high?

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